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上证50业绩变动追踪 算法：朝阳永续一致预期统计截止日：2009-3-12

基本资料近3月预测机构数量一致预期2008年一致预期净利调整变动

序号股票代码简称2008年EPS2008年PE2009年EPS2009年PE2010年EPS2010年PE1周变化率(%)4周变化率(%)13周变化率(%)

1600000浦发银行172.2218.232.0049.122.2028.301-0.2130.7895.013

2600001邯郸钢铁60.20319.7050.15825.2780.24116.6-10.022-10.55-43.548

3600005武钢股份130.7877.5080.6179.5710.7388.0090.03-0.658-21.747

4600009上海机场190.44628.9360.50325.6910.64719.938-1.192-3.757-5.305

5600010包钢股份40.09634.0170.11727.8630.1423.286-7.261-27.075-60.908

6600015华夏银行60.70213.1490.69913.1970.82411.202-1.331-3.05-9.487

7600016民生银行100.5458.6310.5149.1430.5578.433-0.115-0.081-6.577

8600018上港集团80.22117.6350.20918.640.21218.389-0.086-0.57-3.378

9600019宝钢股份150.41512.9820.39413.670.47211.412-8.76-17.728-43.343

10600028中国石化160.29727.4680.56214.5280.70311.626-3.965-13.08-31.25

11600029南方航空11-0.203n.m.-0.112n.m.-0.003-1706.2712.41718.843-221.894

12600030中信证券171.06420.3760.97722.1891.17218.4980.798-0.5641.837

13600036招商银行151.4539.8621.5039.5321.7328.272-0.505-3.811-3.955

14600048保利地产250.91322.2471.13817.851.40514.4570 -0.84-7.371

15600050中国联通100.39512.8050.25419.8910.24620.5760.29-4.5-10.49

16600104上海汽车170.2142.3010.41121.5910.57515.4532.307-19.45-40.637

17600177雅戈尔50.9379.470.81610.8710.9739.112-13.189-5.5013.217

18600320振华港机50.713.3780.83711.1960.89810.437-0.9750.9530.626

19600362江西铜业110.99816.8750.54231.0610.72423.275-0.063-7.933-27.495

20600497驰宏锌锗60.25659.3130.25260.2740.41936.2689.777-8.864-42.317

21600519贵州茅台54.51625.6715.74320.1887.25915.972-4.05-4.308-8.025

22600642申能股份40.24729.4020.47215.3860.53513.576-1.221-2.073-41.487

23600739辽宁成大31.06316.5690.97118.1281.1914.7980.261-0.7023.488

24600795国电电力160.027233.5690.25424.4860.3418.244-8.182-11.9550.8

25600837海通证券150.38731.2860.36633.0730.45126.891-0.0670.9571.661

26600900长江电力90.46830.6690.70120.4740.84716.946-1.392-0.383-9.831

27601006大秦铁路140.54215.4620.57114.6740.62813.3530.607-1.025-5.924

28601088中国神华131.44313.0451.55312.1181.76810.645-3.707-3.982-3.925

29601111中国国航10-0.496n.m.0.11242.9440.18226.3443.7666.899-430.684

30601166兴业银行152.2998.6112.1899.0432.3788.3280.054-0.35-3.291

31601168西部矿业70.23935.1140.15554.3460.21838.551-41.215-43.613-53.241

32601169北京银行110.86912.2370.92711.471.1059.622-0.423-1.87-4.015

33601186中国铁建150.30930.0740.47719.5010.6414.5411.35-2.115-4.77

34601318中国平安14-0.039n.m.1.16530.8571.38325.99763.59281.97186.88

35601328交通银行60.5729.4010.5569.680.5979.014-0.689-3.062-5.418

36601333广深铁路130.20618.9930.22717.2360.22817.1641.4080.301-1.778

37601390中国中铁150.06877.390.2620.2140.35314.8886.493-10.701-53.588

38601398工商银行60.34710.6090.35310.420.3889.4951.1312.134-0.496

39601588北辰实业00.09441.9370.12330.219.8-7.402-33.118-41.365

40601600中国铝业50.13766.1890.084108.2140.1947.8760.576-0.222-36.543

41601601中国太保110.25355.830.57924.3680.68720.524.923-2.998-41.49

42601628中国人寿140.41350.1370.56736.5110.5935.089-0.7565.891-15.892

43601857中国石油110.64816.390.65316.2710.85112.483-2.261-5.474-7.948

44601898中煤能源80.612.9420.58313.3140.71510.849-0.3682.7411.505

45601899紫金矿业80.21438.5330.24433.890.28429.1161.175-0.459-5.239

46601919中国远洋111.3467.667-0.181n.m.0.28736.012-1.194-5.432-35.664

47601939建设银行80.4379.320.4459.1550.5048.079-0.268-2.623-5.683

48601988中国银行50.28411.750.31510.5990.3389.8940.1790.238-1.2

49601991大唐发电80.029235.4540.24827.4710.33620.233-3.5471.815-37.733

50601998中信银行80.35512.7720.34213.2590.38811.7140.1820.148-8.22

2009年一致预期净利调整变动2010年一致预期净利调整变动一致预期目标价总股本(万股)所属行业 股票代码简称

1周变化率(%)4周变化率(%)13周变化率(%)1周变化率(%)4周变化率(%)13周变化率(%)

1.2410.909 6.546 06.624 22.268 20.798 566135 银行600000浦发银行

5.591-10.684-38.374 -7.05961.224 -15.272 4.4281646 原材料600001邯郸钢铁

-0.106-1.692 -23.97 1.664-4.152 -20.319 7.824783800 原材料600005武钢股份

-1.9141.562 -13.806 -2.1454.92 -13.901 15.187 192696 运输600009上海机场

-6.263-26.94 -44.969 0.718-33.338-44.624 5.933642337 原材料600010包钢股份

-3.619-5.311 -8.614 -3.037-4.253 -6.115 13499053 银行600015华夏银行

-2.647-1.136 -3.216 3.583-3.336 -7.127 5.6431882300银行600016民生银行

-0.3620.124 -8.669 -2.343-2.173 -15.467 3.3732099080运输600018上港集团

-5.221-12.394-27.436 -10.735-21.351-30.136 6.6131751200原材料600019宝钢股份

-1.249-1.14 -15.598 -1.061.615 -0.925 9.5048670244能源600028中国石化

28.56435.181 30.473 -5449.12-213.1584.676 3.698656127 运输600029南方航空

0.1923.354 1.679 -1.1471.599 -4.476 21.845 663047 综合金融 600030中信证券

2.036-1.335 1.347 1.832-1.84 2.604 20.571 1470719银行600036招商银行

-0.50.394 -6.612 0.8784.246 -11.976 21.792 245234 房地产600048保利地产

0.144-13.816-37.295 -3.524-24.36 -47.713 5.5672119660电信业务 600050中国联通

0.9434.365 4.543 2.7990.342 20.159 10.36655103 汽车与汽车零部件600104上海汽车

-3.718-6.494 -15.162 -1.827-5.868 -10.367 10.375 222661 耐用消费品与服装600177雅戈尔

-12.851 5.537 -2.7282.011 1.995 11.433 320736 资本货物 600320振华港机

-7.607-13.595-50.138 -14.33-14.321-30.133 11.225 302283 原材料600362江西铜业

-7.175-9.593 -0.408 -3.745-15.652261.985 9.2378000 原材料600497驰宏锌锗

-2.54-1.659 -5.478 1.0875.133 2.593 164.889 94380 食品、饮料与烟草600519贵州茅台

3.9144.666 -1.177 4.0960.567 77.938 7.77288963 公用事业 600642申能股份

2.1786.786 -0.649 6.8222.586 -0.963 2090049 零售业600739辽宁成大

-10.654-9.026 39.006 -11.243-16.66238.198 7.027544777 公用事业 600795国电电力

1.277.776 -7.928 -1.4952.768 -6.273 10.8822782 综合金融 600837海通证券

-5.034-12.005-16.815 -1.635-4.317 -6.214941209 公用事业 600900长江电力

-0.268-3.779 -11.88 1.653-3.645 -10.747 11.351297676运输601006大秦铁路

-1.784-4.816 -4.572 -2.991-3.898 3.529 23.151988962能源601088中国神华

17.24847.623 -3.587 -2.6241.419 5.444 4.0171225136运输601111中国国航

-0.0531.701 -1.34 2.5023.016 2.0424.087 500000 银行601166兴业银行

-24.793-30.553-54.843 -28.796-28.596-4.872 7.07238300 原材料601168西部矿业

0.6042.51 -4.933 2.1910.909 5.941 13.149 622756 银行601169北京银行

-2.2571.205 4.372 -2.6634.946 5.995 12.438 1233754资本货物 601186中国铁建

-2.947.112 -1.842 -3.02310.185 -3.214 38.564 734505 保险601318中国平安

-1.098-4.682 -4.483 -2.025-5.33 0.534 7.1334899438银行601328交通银行

0.791.092 -2.148 1.125-0.876 -6.937 4.523708354 运输601333广深铁路

1.322-5.409 -5.545 -0.319-2.077 4.185 6.6632129990资本货物 601390中国中铁

0.8162.085 -1.42 2.2029.627 3.015 4.95633401885银行601398工商银行

-9.135-48.698-57.745 0-14.019-19.751 4336702 房地产601588北辰实业

1.32311.143 -45.568 -5.9832.744 -35.928 2.41352449原材料601600中国铝业

-1.20740.027 20.422 -1.16417.636 10.845 17.709 770000 保险601601中国太保

-3.60114.178 -1.975 -0.997.347 -20.485 21.771 2826471保险601628中国人寿

-4.3-6.329 -18.279 0.469-0.602 2.827 13.326 18302098能源601857中国石油

-4.31-1.905 -13.826 -3.474-2.94 9.651 11.015 1325866能源601898中煤能源

16.82719.556 6.979 15.6665.875 1.761 9.5281454131原材料601899紫金矿业

-4.162-45.073-119.858-6.961-13.942-63.198 6.3931021627运输601919中国远洋

-0.261-2.595 -1.135 -1.774-3.56 4.869 5.43623368908银行601939建设银行

6.02612.072 11.849 4.60112.497 8.958 4.13425383916银行601988中国银行

2.1585.047 33.921 -3.386-3.752 41.255 7.421178004公用事业 601991大唐发电

3.9464.376 -3.278 3.913-0.338 -5.518 5.4253903334银行601998中信银行

一致预期预测值来源：上海朝阳永续 Go-Goal业绩预测系统

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